Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that must be your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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